Risk Assessment Judgment Trainer
Learn the Art & Science of Risk Assessment
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🎯 How This Trainer Works
In real spacecraft programs, engineers use risk matrices to prioritize problems. You’ll assess Likelihood (how likely is this to happen?) and Consequence (how bad if it does?), each on a 1-5 scale.
Important: There’s rarely a single “right” answer. Experienced engineers often disagree by 1-2 levels. Your goal is to develop calibrated judgment—understanding what factors matter and why.
Reference: 5×5 Risk Matrix
Standard artifact used by risk boards to prioritize risks. Each cell = Likelihood (row) × Consequence (column). Zoning consistent with NASA/SP-2011-3422 Risk Management Handbook (2011), §3.6.
| Likelihood | Consequence | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minimal | 2 Minor | 3 Moderate | 4 Major | 5 Catastrophic | |
| 5 Near Certain | MED | HIGH | HIGH | CRIT | CRIT |
| 4 Likely | LOW | MED | HIGH | CRIT | CRIT |
| 3 Possible | LOW | MED | MED | HIGH | HIGH |
| 2 Unlikely | LOW | LOW | MED | MED | HIGH |
| 1 Remote | LOW | LOW | LOW | LOW | MED |
Title
Situation text…
Question?
Your Assessment
Rate likelihood and consequence. Experts often disagree, so trust your judgment.